Cyclone Melissa Grows Stronger As It Moves Toward the Island Nation
Hurricane Melissa is predicted to strengthen into a infrequent Category 5 cyclone as it turns towards Jamaica, causing dangerous flash flooding and mudslides.
The cyclone, which recorded winds of up to 120 mph as of 0600 Greenwich Mean Time, is now shifting northwest in the Caribbean region and is anticipated to hit the coast by Tuesday, according to hurricane specialists.
Warnings of blackouts and disruption to utilities have been released as the hurricane produces up to thirty inches of precipitation and sea level surges as high as 4m above ground. "Seek shelter now," inhabitants have been urged.
Melissa is the thirteenth hurricane in this year's Atlantic storm period, which typically ends in late autumn.
Highest-Level Hurricane Danger
A Category 5 hurricane is the most powerful category, with winds of at least 157 miles per hour.
Although Melissa is projected to weaken to a fourth-level storm before reaching Jamaica, meteorologists said there was "very little practical difference in the overall impacts" upon reaching the coast, and that the cyclone will be "at least that intensity" when it hits the country.
Urgent Readiness Measures
With storm-force gusts and precipitation anticipated well in advance long before it crosses the island's interior - possibly even the city of Kingston - alerts indicate that "preparations should be rushed to completion".
"Several days of harmful winds and intense precipitation has started and will cause devastating and dangerous rapid water accumulation and multiple landslides," advised meteorological officials.
The country's head of government the official stated: "I understand that there are many Jamaicans who are concerned, who are very concerned, and rightfully so: concern is justified.
"However the best way to address worry and any apprehension and worry is to remain prepared."
Inhabitants are being advised to fortify their houses with protective bags and wooden boards, and to accumulate essentials.
Broader Consequences
Advisories are also ongoing for regions of the neighboring country encompassing the main city, Port au Prince, the adjacent nation and the eastern part of Cuba, where the hurricane is projected to bring similar effects by the midweek period.
Mudslides presently generated by the cyclone have resulted in two fatalities in the country, according to the nation's Civil Protection agency.
Future Course
Melissa is projected to cross Cuba by midweek before moving through the Greater Antilles and emerging into the open ocean.
By the time it reaches Cuba, it is forecast to have weakened to a third-level storm.
Climate Background
Although it is difficult to link specific storms to environmental shifts, researchers say it is resulting in weather phenomena increasingly frequent and more severe.
Higher ocean heat generate additional humidity in the atmosphere, aiding in the creation of storms.
Ahead of the start of the current Atlantic storm period, weather organizations projected above-normal activity, referencing heated marine conditions and likely more intense weather patterns around African coastal regions - where tropical systems frequently develop.